mbaapk
Senior Member
- First Name
- Mike
- Joined
- Mar 30, 2022
- Threads
- 24
- Messages
- 2,208
- Reaction score
- 2,272
- Location
- Twin Cities
- Vehicle(s)
- Pacifica
- Thread starter
- #1,351
There is no fear talk track and now you have relegated to word salad. The unrealized bank losses speak to the lack of health in the sector. This is about facts. QT has a lag effect (on the demand side) and M1 money supply is draining but new news is nations are now fighting to sell treasuries to get dollars to pay off dollar denominated debt. This drives up the price of the dollar and interest rates. Bottom line (ignoring the broader macro picture ie national debt to gdp and staggering us debt interest payments), its going to be even harder to get a loan and those loans that are given will be at higher rates. This puts pressure on both the dealer and consumer. Facts don’t care about feelings, its straight economics and those who want a type r and have good credit and down payment may strike more close to msrp deals in the near future. Peace.The unrealized losses have zero impact unless the banks need to sell securities from the investment portfolios to generate income. They've been sitting on unrealized losses for quite some time. Granted that sum is higher today than it was 6 months ago, but this phenomenon didn't occur overnight. Can, should, may...nothing has happened yet so it's all speculative and quite frankly, no one knows when it will happen, if it will happen, and to what extent. Certain indicators portend certain outcomes, but it's not an absolute and the timing is uncertain. This fear talk track has been on repeat for well over 12 months and it's exhausting.
And further, the liqudity in the national banking system (primarily commercial banks) you're referring to and liquidity in the capital markets are two very different things. And yes, the capital markets are absolutely still flush with cash. It's not a guess or an opinion, it's Economics. It's the very reason the Federal Reserve is continuing to leverage monetary policy to draw excess liquidity out of the system.
Sponsored